{"id":4431,"date":"2022-02-04T16:18:10","date_gmt":"2022-02-04T08:18:10","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/archives\/4431"},"modified":"2022-02-04T16:18:10","modified_gmt":"2022-02-04T08:18:10","slug":"%e7%be%8e-%ec%97%b0%ec%a4%80-%ec%98%ac%ed%95%b4-%eb%a7%a4%ed%8c%8c%ec%a0%81-%ea%b3%84%ed%9a%8d-%ec%8b%a4%ed%96%89-%eb%82%9c%ea%b4%80-%ec%98%88%ec%83%81","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/?p=4431","title":{"rendered":"“\u7f8e \uc5f0\uc900 \uc62c\ud574 ‘\ub9e4\ud30c\uc801’ \uacc4\ud68d \uc2e4\ud589 \ub09c\uad00 \uc608\uc0c1”"},"content":{"rendered":"
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[\ube14\ub85d\uccb4\uc778\ud22c\ub370\uc774 \uc774\uc9c0\uc740 \uae30\uc790] \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(\uc5f0\uc900)\uc758 \uc62c\ud574 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud589\ubcf4\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ub09c\uad00\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub52a\ud790 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ucf54\uc778\ud154\ub808\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uac00 3\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uac01) \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\ubcf4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc744 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uba40\uc5b4\uc9c0\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\ucd08\ubd80\ud130 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub420 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc9c0\ub09c \uc8fc 3\ub9cc3000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub358 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c 1\uc77c \ucd5c\uace0 3\ub9cc9300\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uac04 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. 3\uc77c \uc624\uc804 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 3\ub9cc7000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\ub85c \ub5a8\uc5b4\uc84c\uc9c0\ub9cc \uc774\ub294 \uc5ec\uc804\ud788 \ubc14\ub2e5\uc5d0\uc11c 13% \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud55c \uac00\uaca9\uc774\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\uc8fc\uc694 \uc678\ud654\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uac15\uc138\ub97c \uce21\uc815\ud558\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec \uc9c0\uc218(DXY)\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c\ub2ec 28\uc77c 97.441\ub85c \uc0c1\uc2b9\ud574 2020\ub144 7\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uace0\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc9c0\uc218\ub294 3\uc77c\uae4c\uc9c0 \uac70\uc758 1.50% \uc218\uc815\ub418\uc5b4 96.00\uc744 \uc870\uae08 \ub118\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ub098\ud0c0\ub0ac\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\uc77c\ubd80 \ubd84\uc11d\uac00\ub4e4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc758 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \uc57d\uc138\ub294 \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub450\ub824\uc6c0\uc774 \uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc2e0\ud638\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ubbf8\uad6d \ud22c\uc790\uc804\ub7b5 \uc790\ubb38\ud68c\uc0ac\uc778 \ub9b0 \uc568\ub4e0 \uc778\ubca0\uc2a4\ud2b8\uba3c\ud2b8\uc2a4\ud2b8\ub808\ud2b8\uc9c0(Lyn Alden Investment Strategy)\uc758 \uc124\ub9bd\uc790\uc778 \ub9b0 \uc568\ub4e0\uc740 “\uc9c0\ub09c \uc8fc, \uc5f0\uc900\uc740 \ub354 \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc778 \uae34\ucd95 \uc2dc\ub098\ub9ac\uc624\ub97c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uae30 \uc704\ud574 \ucd5c\ub300\ud55c \ub178\ub825\ud588\uc73c\ub098 \uacbd\uc81c \ub454\ud654\uc640 \uc57d\ud55c PMI \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ube44\ub458\uae30\ud30c\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \ub3cc\ub9b4 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4”\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ud2b8\uc717\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud588\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\ub9b0 \uc5d8\ub4e0\uc740 \ub610\ud55c \uc9c0\ub09c 1\uc77c \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub97c \uc778\uc6a9\ud558\uc5ec \ubbf8\uad6d \uc81c\uc870\uc5c5\uc758 \uc131\uc7a5\ub960\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c 1\uc6d4\uae4c\uc9c0 3\uac1c\uc6d4 \uc5f0\uc18d \ud558\ub77d\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4\uace0 \uc9c0\uc801\ud588\ub2e4. \ud2b9\ud788 \uacf5\uae09\uad00\ub9ac\ud611\ud68c(Institute for Supply Management)\uc758 \uacf5\uc7a5\uac00\ub3d9\ub960 \uce21\uc815\uc9c0\uc218\ub294 57.60\uc73c\ub85c, \uc9c0\ub09c 2020\ub144 11\uc6d4 \uc774\ud6c4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub97c \uae30\ub85d\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub294 \ud55c \ub2ec \uc804\uc778 58.80\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub354 \ub0ae\uc544\uc9c4 \uc218\uce58\uc774\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

ADP \ub9ac\uc11c\uce58\uc778\uc2a4\ud2f0\ud29c\ud2b8(ADP Research Institute)\ub294 \uc9c0\ub09c 2\uc77c, \ubbf8\uad6d \uc804 \uc9c0\uc5ed\uc758 \uace0\uc6a9\uc774 30\ub9cc1000\uc904\uc5b4\ub4e4\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70 \uc774\ub294 \ucf54\ube44\ub4dc 19 \uc804\uc5fc\ubcd1 \ucd08\uae30 \uc774\ud6c4 \uac00\uc7a5 \ub192\uc740 \uc218\uc900\uc758 \uac10\uc18c\ub77c\ub294 \uc870\uc0ac \uacb0\uacfc\ub97c \ubc1c\ud45c\ud588\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\ucf54\uc778\ud154\ub808\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \ubbf8 \uc5f0\uc900 \uc81c\ub86c \ud30c\uc6d4 \uc758\uc7a5\uc740 \uc9c0\ub09c \uc8fc \uc778\ud50c\ub808\uc774\uc158 \uc0c1\uc2b9\uc744 \uc5b5\uc81c\ud558\uae30 \uc704\ud574\uc11c \uc62c\ud574 \uae08\ub9ac\ub97c \uc138 \ubc88 \uc778\uc0c1\ud560 \uac83\uc774\ub77c\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \ub610\ud55c \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc138\uc778\ud2b8\ub8e8\uc774\uc2a4 \uc9c0\uc810\uc7a5\uc778 \uc81c\uc784\uc2a4 \ubd88\ub77c\ub4dc(James Bullard)\ub294 \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc \ucd08 "\uae08\ub9ac\uc778\uc0c1\uc744 5\ud68c \ud558\ub294 \uac83\ub3c4 \ub098\uc058\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83"\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud574 \uae34\ucd95\uc5d0 \ub300\ud55c \ub450\ub824\uc6c0\uc744 \ubd80\ucd94\uae34 \ubc14 \uc788\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc804\ubb38\uac00\ub4e4\uc740 \uc608\uc0c1\ubcf4\ub2e4 \ub0ae\uc740 ADP \uc218\uce58\uac00 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \uc785\uc7a5\uc758 \ubcc0\ud654\ub97c \ucd08\ub798\ud560 \uc218 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc774\ub2e4. ADP \uc218\uce58\ub294 \ubbf8\uad6d ADP \uc804\uad6d\uace0\uc6a9\ubcf4\uace0\uc11c\uc758 \ube44\ub18d\uc5c5 \ubbfc\uac04 \uace0\uc6a9 \uc218\uc900\uc744 \ucd94\uc801\ud558\ub294 \uc6d4\uac04 \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc758 \uc218\uce58\ub97c \ub9d0\ud55c\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\uc77c\ubd80 \uc5f0\uc900 \uad00\ub9ac\ub4e4 \uc5ed\uc2dc \uc911\uc559\uc740\ud589\uc774 \uc608\uc0c1\ub9cc\ud07c \uacf5\uaca9\uc801\uc73c\ub85c \uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1\uc744 \uc9c4\ud589\ud558\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uc218\ub3c4 \uc788\ub2e4\ub294 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ubcf4\uc600\ub2e4. \uce94\uc790\uc2a4\uc2dc\ud2f0 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc5d0\uc2a4\ub354 \uc870\uc9c0(Esther George) \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub294 "\uc608\uae30\uce58 \uc54a\uc740 \uc870\uc815\uc740 \ub204\uad6c\uc5d0\uac8c\ub3c4 \ub3c4\uc6c0\uc774 \ub418\uc9c0 \uc54a\uc744 \uac83"\uc774\ub77c\uace0 \ub9d0\ud588\uc73c\uba70 \uc0cc\ud504\ub780\uc2dc\uc2a4\ucf54 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uba54\ub9ac \ub2ec\ub9ac(Mary Daly) \ucd1d\uc7ac\ub3c4 "\ub108\ubb34 \ube68\ub9ac \uae34\ucd95\ud558\uc9c0 \ub9d0\ub77c"\uace0 \uacbd\uace0\ud55c \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \uc804\ud574\uc84c\ub2e4.<\/p>\n

\ud604\uc7ac \ubbf8\uad6d \uc804\uccb4 \uc120\ubb3c \ubc0f \uc635\uc158 \uac70\ub798\ub7c9\uc758 \uc57d 37%\ub97c \uac70\ub798\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uc2dc\uce74\uace0 \uc0c1\ud488\uac70\ub798\uc18c(Chicago Mercantile Exchange)\uc758 Fed Watch Tool\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uc2dc\uc7a5\uc740 3\uc6d4 25bp \uae30\uc900\uae08\ub9ac \uc778\uc0c1 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc744 94.40%\ub85c \uc608\uce21\ud558\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uadf8\ub7ec\ub098 \uc774\ud6c4 \uc778\uc0c1 \uc9c0\uc18d \uc5ec\ubd80\ub294 \ubd88\ud655\uc2e4\ud558\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\uc774\ub7ec\ud55c \ucd5c\uadfc\uc758 \uacbd\uc81c\uc801 \uc9c0\ud45c\ub4e4\uc774 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778 \uac00\uaca9\uc744 \uba87 \ub2ec \ub3d9\uc548 \uc0c8\ub85c\uc6b4 \ucd5c\uc800\uce58\ub85c \ub04c\uc5b4 \ub0b4\ub838\ub358 \uc5f0\uc900\uc758 \uc785\uc7a5\uc744 \ud754\ub4e4\uace0 \uc788\ub294 \uac83\uc73c\ub85c \ubcf4\uc778\ub2e4\uace0 \uc804\ud588\ub2e4. <\/p>\n

\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

[\ube14\ub85d\uccb4\uc778\ud22c\ub370\uc774 \uc774\uc9c0\uc740 \uae30\uc790] \ubbf8 \uc5f0\ubc29\uc900\ube44\uc81c\ub3c4(\uc5f0\uc900)\uc758 \uc62c\ud574 \uc608\uc815\ub41c \ub9e4\ud30c\uc801 \ud589\ubcf4\uac00 \ucd5c\uadfc \ubc1c\ud45c\ub41c \ubbf8\uad6d \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\uc5d0 \uc758\ud574 \ub09c\uad00\uc5d0 \ubd80\ub52a\ud790 \uac00\ub2a5\uc131\uc774 \ud06c\ub2e4\uace0 \ucf54\uc778\ud154\ub808\uadf8\ub798\ud504\uac00 3\uc77c(\ud604\uc9c0 \uc2dc\uac01) \ubcf4\ub3c4\ud588\ub2e4.  \ubcf4\ub3c4\uc5d0 \ub530\ub974\uba74 \uacbd\uc81c \ub370\uc774\ud130\ub294 \ud22c\uc790\uc790\ub4e4\uc744 \ubbf8\uad6d \ub2ec\ub7ec\uc5d0\uc11c \uba40\uc5b4\uc9c0\uac8c \ub9cc\ub4e4\uc5c8\uc73c\uba70, \uc774\ubc88 \uc8fc\ucd08\ubd80\ud130 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc758 \uac00\uaca9\uc740 \uafb8\uc900\ud788 \ud68c\ubcf5\ub420 \uc870\uc9d0\uc744 \ubcf4\uc774\uace0 \uc788\ub2e4. \uc608\ub97c \ub4e4\uc5b4, \uc9c0\ub09c \uc8fc 3\ub9cc3000\ub2ec\ub7ec \uc544\ub798\uae4c\uc9c0 \ud558\ub77d\ud588\ub358 \ube44\ud2b8\ucf54\uc778\uc774 \uc9c0\ub09c 1\uc77c \ucd5c\uace0 3\ub9cc9300\ub2ec\ub7ec\uae4c\uc9c0 \uc62c\ub77c\uac04 \ubc14 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":4432,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-4431","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4431"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=4431"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4431\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/4432"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=4431"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=4431"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.coinon.pro\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=4431"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}